Cuba says outages will affect up to 48% of the island on Thursday

Cuba's power utility now says outages will affect up to 48% of the island on Thursday as the country's electricity shortfall persists.

The latest estimate, reported by EFE and republished by Infobae, says peak generation will reach about 1,652 MW against demand of 3,100 MW. That leaves a deficit of roughly 1,448 MW and estimated impacts of 1,478 MW.

The forecast is worse than the earlier Wednesday estimate that outages would affect up to 46% of the island. The revision shows how quickly Cuba's power situation is deteriorating even after previous short-term relief from fuel deliveries.

Granma, the official newspaper of the Cuban Communist Party, has been publishing daily Unión Eléctrica forecasts showing persistent large deficits in late April. Reuters also reported earlier that Russian oil deliveries had brought only temporary relief to the grid.

The key question now is whether Thursday's actual outage level matches or exceeds the latest forecast, and whether any new generation failure or fuel disruption explains the worsening outlook.